29. The models are in better agreement today, the track of the low pressure has been nudged south.
The map (to the left) is from the HPC and shows the difference between the low's forecast placement with the track yesterday (in my previous post).
The strength of the clipper hasn't really changed, nor its speed, but being closer to the low's center circulation may position us in a location of more upward lift (more lift = more snow) and also gives us a shot at any snow wrapping around the system as it departs.
The last time we had snow over two inches was almost 10 days ago - flurries here and there doesn't cut it.
(To the right) is the Weather Story from NWS Duluth depicting forecast snow amounts. It looks like most of northern Wisconsin could see between 2 and 4 inches of snow, this lines up with my "by the numbers" look at amounts in my previous blog. I am honestly hoping for the higher amounts.
The Lake-effect Machine is shutting down.
Almost all of Western Lake Superior is iced over, only a narrow channel in the center remains ice-free. The current map of ice cover is here. In addition, water temps are between 32 and 33.5 degrees.